- Scattered storms could be a factor in Chicago, Detroit, St. Louis, Minnesota, and Texas tonight. Keep an eye on the forecast as we get closer to first pitch.
- Colorado Rockies hosting RHP Dylan Axelrod
- Los Angeles Angels hosting RHP Colby Lewis
- Toronto Blue Jays visiting LHP John Danks
- Boston Red Sox hosting RHP Brad Peacock
- Cleveland Indians hosting RHP Ubaldo Jimenez
Longshot stack:Cincinnati Reds visiting RHP Jordan Lyles
$2 Qualifier Jump in and take a shot at the Fantasy Baseball Championship - LIVE at Atlantis Paradise Island
$2 Contest Free with your first deposit!
$5 Contest - $50,000 in Prizes
$27 Contest - $100,000 in Prizes
Aces collide in Detroit this evening, and both SP are probably superior options to Clayton Kershaw considering the Dodgers left-hander’s absurd price tag. Despite the fact that he’s pitching on the road, I’ll take King Felix over Price due to consistency. Price has tons of upside (9.86 K/9 since joining the Tigers), and absolutely dominated the Mariners in 2 starts earlier this season, but the addition of a couple RHB to Seattle’s lineup may cause some problems for him. While Price has allowed at least 3 ER in 4 straight starts, Hernandez has tossed 16 consecutive ultra-Quality Starts, where he’s pitched 7+ innings and allowed 2 ER or fewer. He’s produced 30+ DK points in 7 of his last 10 outings, and faces a Tigers lineup that is out of sync right now. By all standards and metrics, King Felix is the best pitcher in the tough A.L. and is likely the safest upper-tier SP on the board tonight.
There’s a serious dropoff in talent after the top 3 SP on the board tonight, but Teheran is one of the few options with tons of upside. The Braves Ace would’ve had a much better line on Monday night had Justin Upton not taken an absolutely terrible route to a fly ball, resulting in a ground-rule double in the 7th and eventually leading to 2 more ER as the bullpen let the game get out of hand. After that debacle, Teheran is still sporting an amazing 1.88 ERA and 0.90 WHIP in 12 home starts this season, as the Braves get ready to host the Athletics. Oakland is a great offensive club, but they haven’t been firing on all cylinders recently as their collective .234 average over the past 14 days is 6th worst in the American League. The A’s will not be able to use a DH in ATL, and none of their batters have gotten a look at Teheran, so perhaps the young RHP can rebound with a stellar outing under the circumstances.
Rubby De La Rosa (BOS) vs. HOU: $5800 – Facing RHP Brad Peacock
The Red Sox young RHP is probably the safest pitcher in this low price range tonight. He's pitched very well aside from consecutive rough outings against Toronto, posting a 1.61 ERA and averaging 18.8 DK points over his last 6 starts against other opponents. He's still walking too many batters (7.9% BB-rate) and his strikeout totals have been inconsistent, but a matchup with an undisciplined Astros squad that leads the A.L. with a 23.3% K-rate this season boosts his upside. De La Rosa has been outstanding in 5 home starts, and checks into tonight's contest with a 1.97 ERA and .216 BAA at Fenway. We'll see if he can continue to perform in front of the hometown fans, but even a modest Quality Start would allow him to exceed value.Longshot Pitcher:
Few SP have Ventura’s upside in this price range, as the young flamethrower is averaging 21.75 DK points with a 9.60 K/9 ratio over his last 4 starts. He’s had mixed results in 2 outings against the Twins, but held Minnesota’s offense to just 2 runs (1 ER) over 7 IP on July 31, and seems poised for another productive night. His adversary, Phil Hughes, is also turning his season around, but has less upside due to the Royals 15.9% K-rate (lowest in the Majors), and has poor home splits. Ventura, however, is 5-2 with a 19.6% K-rate on the road during his rookie campaign, and is facing a Twins team with the 3rd highest K-rate (21.2%) in the American League. He could easily produce 20 DK points at a discounted rate.
Carlos Santana (CLE) vs. BAL: $3900 – Facing Ubaldo Jimenez
Since he hit 6 HR in one mid-July week, Santana has fallen off a cliff, and comes into tonight’s contest sporting a .174 average this month. However, he does still have a .333 OBP as he leads the Majors with a 17.4% BB-rate this season, and faces a RHP that tends to lack control. Ubaldo Jimenez is walking 5.37 batters per 9 innings, and 16.8% of LHB he’s faced this year. He fell apart when facing his former team on May 24, walking Santana twice as he gave up 5 ER over 4 IP. The switch-hitting Santana homered later in that game, but there’s a good chance he can tag Jimenez for extra bases this evening. Call it a hunch, but I think this is the night Santana ends his HR drought.
Dioner Navarro ($3200) is still a solid value as part of a Blue Jays stack tonight. He also has great career splits against struggling LHP John Danks.
Rockies RHP Jordan Lyles struggles against the platoon, so Reds LHB Brayan Pena ($2900) is an intriguing option, as the switch-hitter is batting .435 over his last 10 contests.
David Ortiz (BOS) vs. HOU: $4600 – Facing RHP Brad Peacock
Despite solid performances by both SP last night, this series produced more DFS gold as we went to extra innings at Fenway. With Peacock taking the mound tonight, the Red Sox offense is full of intriguing options yet again, including the biggest name of them all. Ortiz has been ornery since Lester and Lackey got traded, which possibly explains his weak .198 average over the past 10 games. Yet he’s more than capable of going off on any given night, and the fact that he’s 2 for 2 with a double and a BB against Peacock confirms that the weak RHP has no chance of getting him out. If the Sox start to rally and there’s no place to put Big Papi, he’ll be in prime position to deliver a big hit.
Adam Lind ($2800) doesn’t usually play against LHP, but is 3 for 9 in his career against John Danks and is worth a look if he’s in the Blue Jays lineup.
Brandon Moss ($4200) has gotten it together and continues to bat cleanup for the A’s. He’s worth a look in GPP formats against Julio Teheran.
Jesse Hahn’s mystique has started to disappear as he’s sporting a 5.06 ERA over 2 August starts, and facing the Cardinals for the 2nd time in 3 weeks may be problematic for the rookie RHP. He’s been generally stingy to lefties as well as righties, but LHB have hit all 4 HR that Hahn’s given up so far in his career. Rookies tend to struggle at holding men on base, and Wong has shown tremendous speed as he’s 17 for 19 on SB attempts during his rookie campaign. If Yasmani Grandal (and his minuscule caught stealing percentage) is behind the plate tonight, the dual threat will have even more upside, but either way, Wong has shown a decent floor with DK points in 7 straight games and a lofty ceiling with the occasional monster outing.
Phil Gosselin (ATL) is a superb punt play at $1800 as long as he’s still batting 2nd for the Braves.
Brock Holt (BOS) vs. HOU: $3700 – Facing RHP Brad Peacock
The Red Sox extraordinary rookie seems to have broken out of his slump, as he’s 6-16 over his last 4 games. Holt is hitting a scorching .567 with 4 XBH in 5 games against the Astros, and that's not a coincidence for a young man that grew up about an hour from Houston. More importantly, he's facing a weak RHP in Brad Peacock that posted the shortest outing of his career when Holt lead off his July 13 start with a solo HR. The diminutive lefty is batting .309 and averaging 8 DK PPG at Fenway this season, so he remains a solid 50/50 and H2H play with upside.
Danny Valencia ($2500) usually draws the start for the Blue Jays when they face a LHP, and he has great career splits against John Danks.
Zach Walters ($2100) got a spot start for the Indians last night and came through with 2 hits including a HR, if he’s in the lineup tonight he’s a longshot punt play to keep rolling.
Ramirez has been a much safer play since he’s moved into the 2-spot of the White Sox order, and seems to be in good position to succeed tonight. Buehrle is a crafty veteran that can limit offenses, but he isn’t going to shut teams down at this point in his career. He’s given up 19 H over his last 2 starts, and has really struggled with a 6.27 ERA since July 1. Alexei has been much more dangerous at U.S. Cellular Field, where he’s batting .333 with a .373 wOBA this season. He doesn’t seem like a candidate to go yard against Buehrle, but could certainly log his 2nd multi-hit performance in as many days.
Kris Negron ($3500) went 4-4 last night and deserves consideration as long as he’s in the Reds lineup.
Jayson Nix ($1800) has fallen out of the Pirates lineup due to his recent struggles at the plate, but he has good splits against LHP Gio Gonzalez (4-11 with a HR) and could draw the start with Jordy Mercer injured.
Corey Dickerson (COL) vs. CIN: $4800 – Facing RHP Dylan Axelrod
We finally get to mention one of the best stacking options tonight, as Dylan Axelrod makes his 2014 debut at hitter-friendly Coors Field. The former 30th round pick made 20 starts for the White Sox in 2013, posting an awful 5.68 ERA and 5.44 FIP on his way back to the Minors. He was particularly awful on the road, where he allowed batters to post a .432 wOBA and finished with a 7.15 ERA, and also struggled against lefties, as he allowed 2.01 HR per 9 innings to LHB. That all adds up to a fantastic matchup for Dickerson, who is batting a scorching .412 over his last 10 games and averaging 9.5 DK points in 46 contests at Coors this season.
Alex Gordon (KC) @ MIN: $4300 – Facing RHP Phil Hughes
Hughes pounds the strike zone more than any other SP in the MLB this season, and that could lead to a couple more base hits for a hot hitter like Gordon. The Royals LHB is batting .313 this month, and averaging 9.5 DK points as he’s produced double-digit DK points in 5 of his last 10 games. He’s just a solid play for 50/50 and H2H lineups, and has typically solid splits (8-24, 2 doubles, 2 BB) against Hughes. Along with fellow LHB Nick Markakis, he’s a relatively safe outfielder that can help you double up tonight.
Kole Calhoun (LAA) @ TEX: $4100 – Facing RHP Colby Lewis
Calhoun is heating up again, and RHP need to be wary with him. The Angels leadoff man continues to be a better play than superstar teammate Mike Trout, and has an important platoon advantage against Colby Lewis, who is allowing LHB to sport a .414 wOBA, the worst mark in the Majors this season. As you’d expect, Calhoun is 3 for 3 with 2 XBH against one of the worst SP in baseball, and he deserves consideration in all formats, as he’s averaging 12.8 DK PPG during his current 6-game hitting streak.
Drew Stubbs ($3600) and Charlie Blackmon ($3600) are high-upside value plays as the Rockies potential 1-2 hitters against Axelrod.
Rookie Tyler Holt ($1800) is an extreme value play at the minimum price that could be worth consideration if he’s in the Indians lineup again tonight.
I will answer any lineup questions on Twitter: @nweitzer7
Before getting started, read Daily Fantasy Baseball - An Introduction for New Players at DraftKings